{"id":118834,"date":"2025-10-29T01:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/weisetech.dev\/fc-barcelona-noticias\/en\/opta-updates-its-predictions-for-laliga-25-26-title_315143_102\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T11:35:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T10:35:39","slug":"opta-updates-its-predictions-for-laliga-25-26-title_315143_102","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga\/opta-updates-its-predictions-for-laliga-25-26-title_315143_102.html","title":{"rendered":"Opta updates its LaLiga 25\/26 predictions: Will Bar\u00e7a be able to retain the trophy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer updated its forecasts for the LaLiga 25\/26 title after Bar\u00e7a&#8217;s defeat in the Cl\u00e1sico (2-1). The Blaugrana team reduced their chances of retaining the trophy by 21.64%<\/h2>  \r\n<div class=\"article-addons\">\r\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/calendar-fc-barcelona.html\"\r\n       target=\"_self\"\r\n       title=\"Calendar of FC Barcelona\"\r\n       class=\"blue-gredient-btn\">\r\n       \r\n        Calendar of FC Barcelona    <\/a>\r\n<\/div>   <p><strong>FC Barcelona<\/strong> would no longer be the favorite to be crowned champion of <strong>LaLiga EA Sports 2025\/26<\/strong>. At least not according to the predictions of <strong>Opta Analyst<\/strong>. The statistical system&#8217;s supercomputer gives the Bar\u00e7a team <strong>a 24.86% chance of retaining the title<\/strong> obtained in 24\/25.<\/p>  <p>At the beginning of the season, <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga\/opta-predictions-for-laliga-2025-26-champion-european-qualifiers-and-relegated-teams_314082_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/laliga\/predicciones-opta-laliga-2025-26-campeon-clasificados-europa-equipos-descendidos_314082_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga\/opta-predictions-for-laliga-2025-26-champion-european-qualifiers-and-relegated-teams_314082_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Predicciones de Opta para LaLiga 2025\/26: campe\u00f3n, clasificados a Europa y equipos descendidos\">Bar\u00e7a was the main candidate for the title with a 46.5% chance<\/a>. <strong>Real Madrid<\/strong>, meanwhile, was second with a 32.1% probability of being champion. After the &#8216;merengue&#8217; victory in the Cl\u00e1sico (2-1), the white team now appears as the main favorite, with a high percentage (68.18%).<\/p>  <p>Hansi Flick&#8217;s team has now seen its chances of lifting the trophy reduced by 21.64% compared to the initial forecast. After 10 matchdays, the difference is 5 points, still with <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga\/barca-vs-real-madrid-dates-of-next-clasicos_313338_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/laliga\/ventaja-barca-segundo-clasico-liga-jornada-35-spotify-camp-nou_313338_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga\/barca-vs-real-madrid-dates-of-next-clasicos_313338_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"\u00bfVentaja para el Bar\u00e7a? El 2\u00b0 Cl\u00e1sico de Liga, la jornada 35 en el Spotify Camp Nou\">the Cl\u00e1sico of the second round at Camp Nou (matchday 35)<\/a> to be played.<\/p>  <h2>Opta&#8217;s prediction: Bar\u00e7a would finish LaLiga 25\/26 with 8 fewer points<\/h2>  <div class=\"media media-image\" data-ck-asset-wrapper=\"\"> <div class=\"media-item\"> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Opta Predictions - LaLiga 25\/26 (October 2025)\" data-id=\"1528805\" data-resize=\"9\" height=\"563\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/fcbn-63d5ef58b96c007505793be31781126a.webp\" title=\"Opta Predictions - LaLiga 25\/26 (October 2025)\" width=\"1000\"><div class=\"media-title\">Opta Predictions &#8211; LaLiga 25\/26 (October 2025)<\/div> <\/div> <\/div>  <p>According to Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer, Bar\u00e7a, who already have a couple of defeats in the tournament, <strong>would finish LaLiga with only 80 points<\/strong>, 8 less than those obtained last season. Real Madrid, on the other hand, would be champion with 87 units.<\/p>  <p>On average, the last five La Liga champions needed <strong>at least 86 points to lift the trophy<\/strong>. Atl\u00e9tico and Real Madrid secured the title with that amount in 2020 and 2021, respectively. Bar\u00e7a, on the other hand, made 88 in 2023 and 2025. Los Blancos reached the maximum top of the last decade in 2024, with 95 units.<\/p>  <p>Opta completes the upper zone of the standings with <strong>Atl\u00e9tico <\/strong>(3rd), <strong>Villarreal <\/strong>(4th), <strong>Betis <\/strong>(5th), and <strong>Athletic <\/strong>(6th). Regarding the forecast prior to matchday 1, the only difference is the position of the &#8216;verdiblancos&#8217; and the Basques. The &#8216;lions&#8217; have entered a crisis with only one victory in the last 5 matches and have fallen to ninth place.<\/p>  <ul> <li> <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga-classification.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/laliga-clasificacion.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga-classification.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"LaLiga - Clasificaci\u00f3n\">Check out the full LaLiga EA Sports 25\/26 standings table on FCBN<\/a>.<\/li> <\/ul> <h2>Bar\u00e7a Didn&#8217;t Finish the First Half of LaLiga 24\/25 as Favorites Either<\/h2>  <p>For Hansi Flick&#8217;s team, overcoming deficits and being surpassed by Real Madrid in the predictions is nothing new. The Azulgrana team <strong>began the second half of the 24\/25 season 7 points behind the &#8216;Casa Blanca&#8217;<\/strong>. Even so, they sealed the title with 2 matchdays to spare and a 4-point advantage.<\/p>  <p>The *cul\u00e9s* added up to <strong>2 draws and 5 defeats in the first round<\/strong>, with up to 3 consecutive losses at home between November and December. Therefore, forecasts favored Madrid and Atl\u00e9tico in January, but Bar\u00e7a reversed its slump with a spectacular second round.<\/p>  <p>The team only lost one match (in MD37, already with the trophy in hand) and <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga\/flick-barca-on-track-to-complete-best-2nd-half-of-laliga-in-its-history_312118_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/laliga\/barca-flick-va-rumbo-completar-mejor-segunda-vuelta-laliga-historia_312118_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga\/flick-barca-on-track-to-complete-best-2nd-half-of-laliga-in-its-history_312118_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"El Bar\u00e7a de Flick va rumbo a completar la mejor 2\u00aa vuelta de LaLiga en su historia\">obtained 50 of 54 possible points between January and May<\/a>. Hence, beyond Opta&#8217;s analyses, there is full confidence in Bar\u00e7a&#8217;s chances of winning their third La Liga title in the last 4 years.<\/p>  <ul> <li>\ud83d\udc49Follow the complete coverage of <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga\/controversial-changes-in-the-names-of-laliga-and-laliga2_182356_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/laliga\/cambios-polemicos-en-los-nombres-de-laliga-y-laliga2_182356_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/laliga\/controversial-changes-in-the-names-of-laliga-and-laliga2_182356_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Cambios pol\u00e9micos en los nombres de LaLiga y LaLiga2\">LaLiga EA Sports 2025\/26<\/a> in FC Barcelona Noticias<\/li> <\/ul> ","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer updated its forecasts for the LaLiga 25\/26 title after Bar\u00e7a&#8217;s defeat in the Cl\u00e1sico (2-1). The Blaugrana team reduced their chances of retaining the trophy by 21.64% FC Barcelona would no longer be the favorite to be crowned champion of LaLiga EA Sports 2025\/26. At least not according to the predictions of Opta [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":347,"featured_media":118836,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_nextfly_llmd_date_locked":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[114,448],"tags":[260,157],"class_list":["post-118834","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-laliga","category-laliga-2","tag-classification","tag-statistics"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Opta updates its predictions for the LaLiga 25\/26 title<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Opta&#039;s Supercomputer updated its forecasts for the LaLiga 25\/26 title after Bar\u00e7a&#039;s defeat in the Cl\u00e1sico. 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