{"id":3660,"date":"2025-04-16T02:32:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-16T00:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/weisetech.dev\/fc-barcelona-noticias\/en\/barcelona-favorite-in-champions-league-prediction-analysis_312159_102\/"},"modified":"2025-04-16T03:17:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-16T01:17:00","slug":"barcelona-favorite-in-champions-league-prediction-analysis_312159_102","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/barcelona-favorite-in-champions-league-prediction-analysis_312159_102.html","title":{"rendered":"Bar\u00e7a remains the favorite in the predictions to win the Champions League!"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer keeps Bar\u00e7a as the favorite to win the Champions League. Find out the percentages of the six clubs alive in the tournament!<\/h2>  \r\n<div class=\"article-addons\">\r\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/calendar-fc-barcelona.html\"\r\n       target=\"_self\"\r\n       title=\"Calendar of FC Barcelona\"\r\n       class=\"blue-gredient-btn\">\r\n       \r\n        Calendar of FC Barcelona    <\/a>\r\n<\/div>   <p>The advanced statistics based on the calculations of Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer elevate FC Barcelona <strong>as the main candidate to lift what would be their sixth UEFA Champions League crown<\/strong> next May 31 in Munich.&nbsp;<\/p>  <p>After <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/dortmund-3-1-barcelona-flick-team-makes-most-of-first-leg-advantage-on-complicated-night_312152_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/champions-league\/dortmund-3-1-barcelona-flick-hacen-valer-ventaja-ida-noche-complicada_312152_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/dortmund-3-1-barcelona-flick-team-makes-most-of-first-leg-advantage-on-complicated-night_312152_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Dortmund 3-1 Barcelona: defeat with a big prize! To Champions semis!\">the second leg of the quarterfinals against Borussia Dortmund (3-1)<\/a>, the &#8216;cul\u00e9s&#8217; maintain a 54.7% chance of reaching the final, while their chances of keeping the &#8216;big-eared&#8217; trophy as of April 15 are 27.8%.<\/p>  <p><strong>Paris Saint-Germain<\/strong>, meanwhile, now occupies the second place among the favorites to win the Champions League. Thanks to their qualification against Aston Villa (5-4), Luis Enrique&#8217;s team has a 49.9% chance of reaching the final against Bar\u00e7a. Regarding the title, their percentage of being European champion for the first time is 25.7%.<\/p>  <h2>Why is Bar\u00e7a the favorite to win the Champions League?<\/h2>  <p><a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/calendar\/champions-league-semi-finals-dates-and-everything-you-need-to-know_312158_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/calendario\/cuando-se-juegan-semifinales-champions-fechas-clave-equipos-confirmados_312158_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/calendar\/champions-league-semi-finals-dates-and-everything-you-need-to-know_312158_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"When are the Champions League semi-finals played? Key dates and confirmed teams\">In the semi-finals, Bar\u00e7a must face Inter Milan or Bayern Munich<\/a>. The Italians, with an advantage after the first leg in Munich (1-2), have 16.6% chance of winning the Champions League. The Bavarians, on the other hand, barely add 4.2% of options, only ahead of <strong>Real Madrid<\/strong> (1.8%).<\/p>  <p>In principle, <strong>Arsenal<\/strong> would be PSG&#8217;s rival in the other semi-final. <strong>The &#8216;gunners&#8217; are the third favorite for the title with a 24.3%<\/strong> probability of lifting their first &#8216;big-eared&#8217; trophy, after winning the first leg in London by 3-0.<\/p>  <p>However, Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer keeps Bar\u00e7a as the main candidate for the title due to the great moment of the &#8216;cul\u00e9s&#8217; this 2025. <strong>Tuesday was Hansi Flick&#8217;s team&#8217;s first defeat this 2025<\/strong> in 25 matches in all competitions.<\/p>  <p>In addition, the &#8216;azulgrana&#8217; team is <strong>leader in victories (9) and goals scored (37)<\/strong>, with an impressive average of 3.08 goals per game. Bar\u00e7a had not fallen since their debut in the group stage against Monaco and advanced to &#8216;semis&#8217; with a two-goal advantage (5-3).<\/p>  <p><strong>\u26bd<\/strong>These are the percentages for the teams alive in the Champions League, according to Opta:<\/p>  <ol> <li> <strong>FC Barcelona<\/strong>: 27.8% (chances of keeping the title).<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Paris Saint-Germain<\/strong>: 27.7%<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Arsenal<\/strong>: 24.3%<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Inter Milan<\/strong>: 16.6%<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Bayern Munich<\/strong>: 4.2%<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Real Madrid<\/strong>: 1.8%<\/li> <\/ol> <p>To determine their percentages, Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer simulates the competition 10,000 times, based on the odds of the betting market and the Opta Power Rankings, according to the historical and recent results of each team.<\/p>  <h2>Bar\u00e7a&#8217;s road to the Champions League semi-finals<\/h2>  <table align=\"center\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"1\" cellspacing=\"1\" style=\"width:100%;\"> <thead><tr> <th scope=\"col\">Phase<\/th> \t\t\t<th scope=\"col\">Match<\/th> \t\t\t<th scope=\"col\">Result<\/th> \t\t<\/tr><\/thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">league phase &#8211; matchday 1<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Monaco-Bar\u00e7a<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">2-1<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">league phase &#8211; matchday 2<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Bar\u00e7a-Young Boys<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">5-0<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">league phase &#8211; matchday 3<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Bar\u00e7a-Bayern<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">4-1<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">league phase &#8211; matchday 4<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Red Star-Bar\u00e7a<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">2-5<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">league phase &#8211; matchday 5<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Bar\u00e7a-Brest<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">3-0<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">league phase &#8211; matchday 6<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Dortmund-Bar\u00e7a<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">2-3<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">league phase &#8211; matchday 7<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Benfica-Bar\u00e7a<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">4-5<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">league phase &#8211; matchday 8<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Bar\u00e7a-Atalanta<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">2-2<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">round of 16 &#8211; first leg<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Benfica-Bar\u00e7a<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">0-1<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">round of 16 &#8211; second leg<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Bar\u00e7a-Benfica<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">3-1<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">quarter-finals &#8211; first leg<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Bar\u00e7a-Dortmund<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">4-0<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">quarter-finals &#8211; second leg<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Dortmund-Bar\u00e7a<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">3-1<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <\/tbody> <\/table> <p><strong>\u26bdStatistical summary:<\/strong><\/p>  <ul> <li> <strong>Matches played<\/strong>: 12<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Victories<\/strong>: 9<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Draws<\/strong>: 1<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Defeats<\/strong>: 2<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Goals scored<\/strong>: 37 (3.08 per match)<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Goals conceded<\/strong>: 17 (1.41 per match)<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Top scorer<\/strong>: Raphinha (12)<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Leader in assists<\/strong>: Raphinha (7)<\/li> <\/ul> ","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer keeps Bar\u00e7a as the favorite to win the Champions League. Find out the percentages of the six clubs alive in the tournament! The advanced statistics based on the calculations of Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer elevate FC Barcelona as the main candidate to lift what would be their sixth UEFA Champions League crown next May 31 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":347,"featured_media":1404,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_nextfly_llmd_date_locked":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[112,447],"tags":[157],"class_list":["post-3660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-champions-league","category-champions-league-2","tag-statistics"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bar\u00e7a favorite in Champions League: Prediction analysis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Opta&#039;s Supercomputer reveals: Why is Bar\u00e7a the main candidate to win the Champions League? 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