{"id":3808,"date":"2025-04-10T21:31:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T19:31:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/weisetech.dev\/fc-barcelona-noticias\/en\/champions-league-barcelona-dominates-projections-and-madrid-falters-fcbn_312070_102\/"},"modified":"2025-04-12T07:11:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-12T05:11:00","slug":"champions-league-barcelona-dominates-projections-and-madrid-falters-fcbn_312070_102","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/champions-league-barcelona-dominates-projections-and-madrid-falters-fcbn_312070_102.html","title":{"rendered":"Champions League 2024-25: Bar\u00e7a leads Opta&#8217;s projections and Madrid collapses in the numbers"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Barcelona dominates Opta&#8217;s predictions with a 99.5% chance of advancing after thrashing Dortmund<\/h2>  \r\n<div class=\"article-addons\">\r\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/calendar-fc-barcelona.html\"\r\n       target=\"_self\"\r\n       title=\"Calendar of FC Barcelona\"\r\n       class=\"blue-gredient-btn\">\r\n       \r\n        Calendar of FC Barcelona    <\/a>\r\n<\/div>   <p><strong>FC Barcelona<\/strong>, <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/fc-barcelona-4-0-borussia-dortmund-azulgrana-display-to-reach-the-champions-league-semis_312044_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/champions-league\/fc-barcelona-4-0-borussia-dortmund-exhibicion-azulgrana-plantarse-semis-champions_312044_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/fc-barcelona-4-0-borussia-dortmund-azulgrana-display-to-reach-the-champions-league-semis_312044_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"FC Barcelona 4-0 Dortmund: azulgrana display to reach the Champions League 'semis'\">after their overwhelming victory over Borussia Dortmund (4-0)<\/a> in the first leg of the quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League 2024-25, has seen its chances of continuing to transcend in the most prestigious European club competition of the Old Continent increase significantly. Even the predictions of sources such as the <strong>OptaAnalyst<\/strong> supercomputer already give it a lot of strength in its candidacy to reach the final of the tournament.<\/p>  <h2>Barcelona leads the odds to advance to the semifinals of the UEFA Champions League 2024-25<\/h2>  <p>According to the metrics of this portal, <strong>FC Barcelona<\/strong> is the team with the highest chances of qualifying for the semifinals (99.5%). It surpasses its closest pursuer, <strong>Arsenal<\/strong>, <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/champions-league-barcelona-and-other-giants-take-the-lead-in-the-quarterfinals-fcbn_312056_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/champions-league\/barcelona-arsenal-psg-inter-arrasan-en-ida-cuartos-champions-league-2024-25_312056_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/champions-league-barcelona-and-other-giants-take-the-lead-in-the-quarterfinals-fcbn_312056_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Barcelona, Arsenal, PSG and Inter sweep in the first leg of the Champions League 24\/25 quarterfinals\">who after crushing Real Madrid 3-0 in the first leg of the Champions League quarterfinals<\/a>, follows with a 95.7% chance.<\/p>  <p>It should be noted that, according to these same statistics, the &#8216;Gunners&#8217; have slightly better chances of advancing to the final (52.9%) than <strong>FC Barcelona<\/strong> (51.7%). As for being champions of the tournament, the English also lead the projections with 27.8%, while the Catalan team registers 25.9%.<\/p>  <p>The podium of favorites is completed by <strong>Paris Saint-Germain<\/strong>, who comes from beating Aston Villa 3-1. For Opta, the French team has a 91.5% chance of reaching the semifinal, a 42.9% chance of reaching the final and a 21.9% chance of becoming the monarch of the tournament.<\/p>  <table align=\"center\" border=\"1\" cellpadding=\"1\" cellspacing=\"1\" style=\"width:100%;\"> <caption><strong>OPTA SUPERCOMPUTER PREDICTIONS &#8211; SEMIFINALISTS, FINALISTS AND CHAMPION OF THE CHAMPIONS LEAGUE 2024-25<\/strong><\/caption> \t<thead><tr> <th scope=\"col\">N\u00b0<\/th> \t\t\t<th scope=\"col\">TEAM<\/th> \t\t\t<th scope=\"col\">SEMIFINALS<\/th> \t\t\t<th scope=\"col\">FINAL<\/th> \t\t\t<th scope=\"col\">CHAMPION<\/th> \t\t<\/tr><\/thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">1<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Arsenal (ENG)<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">95.7%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">52.9%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">27.8%<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">2<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">FC Barcelona (ESP)<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">99.5%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">51.7%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">25.9%<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">3<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Paris Saint-Germain (FRA)<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">91.5%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">42.9%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">21.9%<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">4<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Inter Milan (ITA)<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">82.7%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">41.5%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">19.8%<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">5<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Bayern Munich (ALE)<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">17.3%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">6.7%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">3%<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">6<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Real Madrid (ESP)<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">4.3%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">2%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">0.9%<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">7<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Aston Villa (ENG)<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">8.5%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">2.2%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">0.8%<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <tr> <td style=\"text-align: center;\">8<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">Borussia Dortmund (ALE)<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">0.5%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">0.1%<\/td> \t\t\t<td style=\"text-align: center;\">0%<\/td> \t\t<\/tr> <\/tbody> <\/table> <h2>Real Madrid, almost eliminated according to predictions<\/h2>  <p>Surprisingly <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/arsenal-3-0-real-madrid-the-gunners-leave-ancelotti-team-in-intensive-care_312033_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/champions-league\/arsenal-3-0-real-madrid-gunners-dejan-ancelotti-terapia-intensiva_312033_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/arsenal-3-0-real-madrid-the-gunners-leave-ancelotti-team-in-intensive-care_312033_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Arsenal 3-0 Real Madrid: The 'gunners' leave Ancelotti's team in intensive care\">\u2014or perhaps not so much, seeing the poor play of the &#8216;merengue&#8217; team\u2014<\/a>, Opta&#8217;s statistical model gives them just a 4.3% chance of reaching the &#8216;semis&#8217;, having to come back from a 3-0 deficit at home. Beyond that, <strong>their chances of reaching the final are reduced to 2%<\/strong> and, even more so, their chances of being champion are at a tiny 0.9%.<\/p>  <p>Records that only worsen \u2014although not by much\u2014 for teams like <strong>Aston Villa<\/strong> and <strong>Borussia Dortmund<\/strong>. Numbers that reflect the hard work ahead for a <strong>Real Madrid<\/strong> forced to perform a miracle if they want to stay alive in their favorite competition.<\/p> ","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Barcelona dominates Opta&#8217;s predictions with a 99.5% chance of advancing after thrashing Dortmund FC Barcelona, after their overwhelming victory over Borussia Dortmund (4-0) in the first leg of the quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League 2024-25, has seen its chances of continuing to transcend in the most prestigious European club competition of the Old Continent [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":1881,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_nextfly_llmd_date_locked":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[112,447],"tags":[67,100,88],"class_list":["post-3808","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-champions-league","category-champions-league-2","tag-borussia-dortmund","tag-inter-milan","tag-paris-saint-germain"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - 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