{"id":6517,"date":"2025-04-17T18:14:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-17T16:14:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/weisetech.dev\/fc-barcelona-noticias\/en\/champions-2025-prediction-why-is-barca-no-longer-the-favorite-fcbn_312192_102\/"},"modified":"2025-04-17T22:18:00","modified_gmt":"2025-04-17T20:18:00","slug":"champions-2025-prediction-why-is-barca-no-longer-the-favorite-fcbn_312192_102","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/champions-2025-prediction-why-is-barca-no-longer-the-favorite-fcbn_312192_102.html","title":{"rendered":"Is Opta Wrong About Bar\u00e7a? Unexpected Turn in Their Prediction for the Champions League Champion"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opta updates its data and Bar\u00e7a falls in the rankings: this is how the Champions League favorites ranking looks<\/h2>  \r\n<div class=\"article-addons\">\r\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/calendar-fc-barcelona.html\"\r\n       target=\"_self\"\r\n       title=\"Calendar of FC Barcelona\"\r\n       class=\"blue-gredient-btn\">\r\n       \r\n        Calendar of FC Barcelona    <\/a>\r\n<\/div>   <p>The world of predictions can change radically in a matter of minutes. This has been demonstrated by Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer, whose projections for the <strong>UEFA Champions League 2024-25<\/strong> have taken an unexpected turn after the <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/calendar\/champions-league-semi-finals-dates-and-everything-you-need-to-know_312158_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/calendario\/cuando-se-juegan-semifinales-champions-fechas-clave-equipos-confirmados_312158_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/calendar\/champions-league-semi-finals-dates-and-everything-you-need-to-know_312158_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"When are the Champions League semi-finals played? Key dates and confirmed teams\">semi-final matchups<\/a> were announced.<\/p>  <p>As we mentioned in FCBN, before the official announcement of the UEFA Champions League semi-final pairings, <strong><a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/barcelona-favorite-in-champions-league-prediction-analysis_312159_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/champions-league\/barcelona-sigue-siendo-favorito-pronosticos-ganar-champions_312159_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/barcelona-favorite-in-champions-league-prediction-analysis_312159_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Bar\u00e7a remains the favorite in the predictions to win the Champions League!\">FC Barcelona was the favorite to win the title<\/a><\/strong>. However, after learning that the Azulgrana team <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/fc-barcelona-vs-inter-milan-the-great-semi-final-clash-fcbn_312177_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/champions-league\/oficial-fc-barcelona-jugara-semifinales-champions-league-contra-inter-milan_312177_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/champions-league\/fc-barcelona-vs-inter-milan-the-great-semi-final-clash-fcbn_312177_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"Battle for glory! Bar\u00e7a and Inter will compete for a place in the Champions League final\">will face Inter Milan<\/a> and that <strong>Arsenal<\/strong> will face <strong>Paris Saint-Germain<\/strong>, the algorithm has drastically changed its priorities.<\/p>  <h2>The new order of favorites to win the Champions League: the unexpected position of the Cul\u00e9 team<\/h2>  <p>Surprisingly, <strong>Barcelona<\/strong> has become the team with the least chance of winning the tournament, according to Opta&#8217;s latest statistical analysis. This is the new ranking of favorites:<\/p>  <ul> <li> <strong>Arsenal<\/strong>: 28.7%<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Inter Milan<\/strong>: 25.5%<\/li> \t<li> <strong>Paris Saint-Germain<\/strong>: 24.0%<\/li> \t<li> <strong>FC Barcelona<\/strong>: 21.8%<\/li> <\/ul> <p>A complete turnaround that raises doubts about the criteria of the predictive model and the perception of the teams&#8217; recent performance.<\/p>  <p>&nbsp;<\/p>  <blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"> <p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">With the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League quarter-finals done and dusted, we&#8217;re now left with the final four teams.<br><br> Who will win the competition? Here&#8217;s what the Opta supercomputer thinks after tonight&#8230;<\/p> \u2014 Opta Analyst (@OptaAnalyst) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/en\/OptaAnalyst\/status\/1912624813392142625?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 16, 2025<\/a> <\/blockquote> <h2>The impact of the quarter-finals on the predictions<\/h2>  <p>This change is partly explained by what happened in the quarter-finals. <strong>Arsenal<\/strong> was the most solid team in this phase, authoritatively defeating <strong>Real Madrid<\/strong> both in the first and second legs. At the Emirates Stadium, the &#8216;Gunners&#8217; won 3-0 with a double by <strong>Declan Rice<\/strong> and another goal by <strong>Mikel Merino<\/strong>. At the Santiago Bernab\u00e9u, they completed the feat with a 1-2 victory thanks to goals from <b><strong>Bukayo Saka<\/strong><\/b> and <strong>Gabriel Martinelli<\/strong>.<\/p>  <p><strong>Inter Milan<\/strong>, on the other hand, also left a powerful impression. They defeated <strong>Bayern Munich<\/strong> 1-2 at the Allianz Arena with goals from <strong>Lautaro Mart\u00ednez<\/strong> and <strong>Davide Frattesi<\/strong>. In the return leg, they achieved a valuable 2-2 draw at the Giuseppe Meazza, with goals also from <strong>Lautaro<\/strong> and <strong>Benjam\u00edn Pavard<\/strong>, maintaining their unbeaten record in the tie.<\/p>  <h2>A brilliant Barcelona&#8230; but with shadows<\/h2>  <p><strong>Bar\u00e7a<\/strong> experienced a two-sided tie. In the first leg, they <strong>crushed Borussia Dortmund<\/strong> with an impressive 4-0 victory thanks to a double by <strong>Robert Lewandowski<\/strong> and goals from <strong>Lamine Yamal<\/strong> and <strong>Raphinha<\/strong>. However, in the return leg, they fell dramatically 1-3 in Germany, in a lackluster match, where their only goal in favor was an own goal by <strong>Ramy Bensebaini<\/strong>. This setback may have weighed on Opta&#8217;s new estimate, even though the aggregate (5-3) was more than enough to advance comfortably.<\/p>  <p><strong>Paris Saint-Germain<\/strong> also experienced a tight series against <strong>Aston Villa<\/strong>. They won 3-1 at the Parc des Princes and lost 3-2 at Villa Park, but advanced on away goals. Despite that partial defeat, their overall performance was more consistent than that of <strong>Barcelona<\/strong>, something that would also have influenced the supercomputer&#8217;s ranking.<\/p>  <h2>Is FC Barcelona being underestimated?<\/h2>  <p>Despite the numbers, many believe that <strong>FC Barcelona<\/strong> is being underestimated. They have demonstrated enormous consistency and a very high competitive level, eliminating heavyweight rivals and finishing second in their group. The Azulgrana team <strong>is experiencing a brilliant moment<\/strong>, <a data-external=\"0\" data-intl-links-en=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/fc-barcelona\/treble-in-sight-review-barcelona-precedents-and-discover-if-they-can-achieve-it-again_312190_102.html\" data-intl-links-es=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/fc-barcelona\/triplete-vista-repasa-precedentes-barcelona-descubre-si-puede-lograrlo-otra-vez_312190_102.html\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fcbarcelonanoticias.com\/en\/fc-barcelona\/treble-in-sight-review-barcelona-precedents-and-discover-if-they-can-achieve-it-again_312190_102.html\" rel=\"follow\" target=\"_self\" title=\"2024-25 Treble in sight?: review Barcelona's precedents and discover if they can achieve it again\">dreams of the treble<\/a> and has more than enough arguments to aspire to everything. Does it really deserve to be in the last position among the semi-finalists? It is a question that, perhaps, can only be answered on the field.<\/p> ","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Opta updates its data and Bar\u00e7a falls in the rankings: this is how the Champions League favorites ranking looks The world of predictions can change radically in a matter of minutes. This has been demonstrated by Opta&#8217;s Supercomputer, whose projections for the UEFA Champions League 2024-25 have taken an unexpected turn after the semi-final matchups [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":355,"featured_media":6518,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_nextfly_llmd_date_locked":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[447,112],"tags":[214,157],"class_list":["post-6517","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-champions-league-2","category-champions-league","tag-barcelona-vs-inter-milan","tag-statistics"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Champions 2025 prediction: Why is Bar\u00e7a no longer the favorite? - FCBN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Opta&#039;s supercomputer lowers Bar\u00e7a&#039;s chances of winning the Champions League. 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