The 2025/26 LaLiga EA Sports season is about to begin, and with it come the first predictions about which team will be crowned champion after 38 matchdays in this 95th edition of the tournament.
- 📌 THE DATA: LaLiga 2025/26 will kick off on August 15 with the match between Girona and Rayo Vallecano at Montilivi. Check here the complete schedule of the first matchday.
When it comes to reliable forecasts, one of the most consulted sources is the Opta supercomputer. This system, which runs 10,000 simulations, can anticipate the results of the season, including not only who will be crowned champion, but also:
- The clubs qualified for European competitions
- The teams that will be relegated
Predictions for the 2025/26 Liga EA Sports according to the Opta supercomputer
In this analysis, the team with the highest probability of winning the title this season would be FC Barcelona, the current champion and favorite to add their twenty-ninth league title. According to Opta, they have a 46.6% chance of being crowned champion.
- The Blaugrana club also has a 26.4% chance of finishing in second position.
In second place is Real Madrid, which has a 32.1% chance of lifting the cup. The Merengues are coming in strong and will seek to stop the Blaugrana hegemony.
- The White team also has a 28.7% chance of finishing in second position.
Completing the podium is Atlético de Madrid, which despite significantly strengthening in this summer market, according to the predictive system has a 11.7% chance of being champion. However, the predictions give them a 21.3% chance of finishing third.
Which teams will secure European places according to the Opta supercomputer?
Regarding the positions that grant access to continental tournaments, the Opta supercomputer points out that Villarreal CF will be the team that would secure the fourth direct place for the next edition of the UEFA Champions League, with a 13.8% chance. They are closely followed by Athletic Club, with 13.2%.
For the fifth position, which would grant a quota for the Europa League, the fight is also very tight between the Yellow Submarine and the Basque Lions. Villarreal CF has a 12.3% chance, while Athletic registers 12.1%.
The sixth place is clearer, which would give access to the Conference League, and which, according to the complex analyses of the system, would be for Real Betis, with a 9.8% chance.
What do the predictions say about relegation in LaLiga EA Sports 2025/26?
Regarding relegation, the source points, without great surprises, to the three newly promoted clubs as the main candidates to fall.
- Real Oviedo has a 12.0% chance of finishing last, 10.6% for the penultimate place, and 10.1% for the 18th position.
- Elche presents a 13.1% chance of finishing in the twentieth place, 10.2% in the 19th, and 9.3% in the 18th.
- Levante has a 10.7% chance of finishing as bottom club, 9.8% for the penultimate, and 8.9% for the antepenultimate.
It is clear that these are only predictions and not an exact science, but they offer an interesting snapshot of what the 2025/26 season in LaLiga EA Sports could hold. Will these forecasts be fulfilled or will there be surprises? Only time and the rolling of the ball will tell.