Unexpected champions! Winners of Europe's major tournaments predicted

The Supercomputadora of the web of data FiveThirtyEight predicts each week the possibilities to go out champion for each team of the big leagues and European tournaments. Happening from LaLiga Santander until the Champions League; the Premier, the Bundesliga, Tie it 1 or the Europe League, among others important tournaments of the continent.

Through a series of variables achieved with data of multiple providers, as it Opts or Transfermarkt, obtain some ratings for each team that allows them do a first prediction of results by party for each competition. From this system launches 20.000 simulations by each league, following the 'Method Mount Carlo', of which take out the probabilities of each team of the competition to go out champion.

The Manchester City of Pep Guardiola (26%), in spite of have not won until the moment any Champions, and the Bayern of Nagelsmann (25%) are the main favourites to carry the maximum continental tournament of clubs, by in front of PSG (11%), Liverpool (7%) and the current champion, the Real Madrid (7%). In spite of the bad results in Europe, the FC Barcelona of Xavi Hernández (24%), the Supercomputadora sees to the Barcelona team like the big favourite to carry the Europe League, by in front of the Arsenal (15%) and the Ajax (9%). Real Sociedad (4%) and Betis (3%) would have his options, but many less than the favourites.

Regarding LaLiga, The Barça (56%) is the favourite according to the prediction to carry the title this season. In spite of going underneath in the table, his possibilities are something upper to the ones of the Real Madrid (41%). Both surpass of far to the Athletic of Madrid (2%), with ínfimas possibilities according to the projection. The fourth square would contest it to him Athletic, Real Sociedad, Real Betis and Villarreal with near similar options to 30%. Elche, Cádiz and Girona, this last by narrow margin, aim to the descent.

Several surprises

Although in the Premier the City is the virtual champion (73%), to the equal that the Bayern (89%) in the Bundesliga, the Supercomputadora has decanted by the Napoli (61%) like the champion of the Series To, winning on the current winner of the tournament, the AC Milan (12%) and the Inter of Milan (13%). In it Tie it 1 of France the prediction has followed the natural way and gives to the PSG like champion with 91% of probability.