Leo Messi, while the Atlético celebrates a goal against the Barça

STATISTICAL PREDICTION

The CIES doesn't trust that the FC Barcelona trace back and was champion of LaLiga

Published:18/02/2021 - 19:59h

Updated:18/02/2021 - 19:59h

Between mathematical formulas and up to date statistics, the CIES projected the end of season to determine to the champions of Europe

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The CIES Football Observatory took out to relucir his statistical prediction for the European leagues of football, leaving champions, promotions and descents in each country analysed. The standards measured are clear occasions, shots to the arch, completed and dangerous passes near of the rival area, and by contraparte the same statistics that apply on the defensive.

In Italy appeared the first surprise with the Inter of Milan like champion of the Series To and the AC Milan like second in the table, leaving in third place to the Juventus of Cristiano Ronaldo that this season has been very inconsistente, by what in the netamente statistician does not have a lot of help.

France was the second surprise, giving to the Olympique of Lyon like champion of Tie it 1 gone on down the PSG of Neymar and Mbappé. To the equal that in Italy, the result is unexpected, but mathematician, since they take in account the statistics that up to now has left each team in his competitions.

Germany will not present any greater change further of a Leipzig second like escort of the Bayern Munich, that will follow with the hegemony in the Bundesliga in spite of the inconsistencias that come giving with the team of Flick. The Borussia Dortmund would have a slight regularity that will allow him finalise in European places with the fifth place.

England will change of monarch with the return of the Manchester City like champion and such as in Italy, the valid champion will fall until the third place because the runner-up will be the Manchester United, that comes doing a campaign memorable, taking in account his recent years.

To the ours, LaLiga. As it is to suppose the Athletic of Madrid will be the champion, no because it was a team that run over but by the balance that found in the present edition of the domestic championship, with big advantage on Barcelona and Real Madrid having a party less. Luis Suárez changed him the face.

This forward that needs the Barcelona to compete in the local championship, because according to the CIES the colchoneros will be champions with 81 points and the group culé will remain to three, with 78. The defeat in front of the Seville in Glass of Rey and the goleada that lumbered with him the PSG in Champions League, leave opened the possibility of only contest LaLiga, that according to the statistics, will not be of his side.

This second place will be achieved with something of tranquility since the real Madrid, third in this table, would finalise with 74 points, four less than the FC Barcelona. The white group would have a difference that well could achieve in the classical to contest in April, an opportunity of gold for the ones of Koeman.

Promotions, descents and derbi

Huesca, Valladolid and Elche would be the teams that would lose the category, such as it presents at present in the table of positions. These three places will be occupied by Mallorca and Espanyol, ensuring the return of the derbi Catalan in front of the Barcelona. The playoff of promotion would play between Almería, Leganés, Ray Vallecano and Sporting of Gijón, teams that in the last years were in some opportunity in First Division.

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