The athletic is the one who more mathematical probabilities has to be champion

The probabilities to be champion of League

The probabilities to be champion of League

Published:5/05/2014 - 14:30h


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Athletic of Madrid, FC Barcelona and Real Madrid have different mathematical probabilities to win the League 2013-14. In spite of the trip in the field of the Raise, the "colchoneros" keep on being those who easier have it to heave with the title, since they depend on yes same

As it gives off of a study published by "MD", the Athletic of Madrid continues being, weigh to have lost 2-0 against the Raise, the team that more mathematical probabilities has to heave with the title of League to the term of the two days that subtract him. The "colchoneros" are the only that depend on yes same, and need to win against Málaga in the Calderón and FC Barcelona in the Camp Nou to achieve the gesta to surpass to the two big clubs of the Spanish League.

Can give a total of 729 possible combinations of results in the six parties that still subtract them to the three candidates to the title, and the global computation dictamina that, of these 729 possible denouements, the ones of the "Cholo" Simeone would do with the domestic competition in 520 occasions, that is 71,33% of the total. The FC Barcelona, instead, only would win with a total of 167 possibilities to his favour, 22,91%, whereas the Real Madrid would heave with the title only with 42 possible combinations, what is only 5,76%.

The FC Barcelona needs that the Real Madrid lose or tie one of the three parties that still subtract him (Valladolid, Celtic and Espanyol), in addition to winning his against Elche and Athletic of Madrid. The rojiblancos only need to add 4 points of the 6 that play in the two remaining days, and the Real Madrid has to win in his three parties and expect to that the Athletic "puncture" in one of the two that remain him. Definitely, playing all the team the same day and to the same hour, will be some parties of infarct and strong emotions. It will be necessary to be prepared for everything.

Carlos Domínguez

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